Building time-series models, and looking inside them

LeNEPA is a compact representation model that drops the augmentation bag entirely. Aionoscope is the instrument we built to read how frozen time-series foundation models arrange signal geometry.

Series 1 · The model

LeNEPA

A small causal encoder that learns time-series representations by predicting its own next latent token — no augmentations, no bidirectional attention, no hand-built difference branch.

Paper: LeNEPA: No-Augmentation Next-Latent Prediction for Time-Series Representation Learning · poster at KDD 2026 MILETS

Representations without the augmentation tax

A 6.3M-parameter encoder lands within 0.24 points of a 161M-parameter baseline by dropping hand-tuned augmentations entirely.

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Series 2 · The instrument

Aionoscope

Generate signals with known latent factors, freeze a foundation model, and read how it arranges phase, event time, and trend into geometric manifolds — across layers, scale, and training.

Paper: Aionoscope: Debugging Latent-State Accessibility in Time-Series Representations · oral at KDD 2026 MILETS

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The Instrument

The generator, the frozen-model probe harness, and the manifold metrics — isometry, neighbourhood, projection, fiber — that score how faithfully a representation lays a factor out.

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The Shape of a Signal

How phase, event time, and trend become geometric manifolds in the activations of a frozen time-series foundation model.

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Fantastic Manifolds and How to Catch Them

The interactive slide deck from the KDD 2026 MILETS oral: the walk from linear probes to representation geometry on live charts driven by real Aionoscope data, with the generator knobs left in for you to turn.

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